Betting tips from AI for Toulouse vs Nice, 17 January 2026.

Toulouse look the safer play here. They’re at home, unbeaten in four of five overall and carrying momentum from a Coupe de France shootout win, while Nice arrive winless in seven Ligue 1 outings and with four straight away defeats. Toulouse also own recent head-to-head edge and multiple tipsters back a narrow home victory.
Value lies with the favorites at the prices offered — Toulouse are short at 1.95, Nice are longshots at 4.06 and the draw is 3.63. Missing personnel for Toulouse is a concern, but Nice’s cold form and travel woes make a Toulouse win the likeliest profitable bet.

Toulouse, currently sitting eighth and eyeing a top-six push, appears to be in a far stronger position heading into this Ligue 1 clash against a struggling Nice. Despite a recent 3-0 setback against Lens, Toulouse quickly rebounded with a Coupe de France shootout win, showcasing resilience and losing only one of their last five games overall.

Nice, conversely, are mired in 14th place, enduring a winless streak of seven Ligue 1 matches and a dismal four consecutive away defeats. While they did manage a Coupe de France upset over Nantes, their league form, especially on the road, is a major concern. Head-to-head history also favors the home side, with Nice failing to secure a win in their last four meetings against Toulouse.

It's true that Toulouse faces some challenges with four key players—Ilyas Azizi, Emersonn (suspended), Rasmus Nicolaisen, and Abu Francis—sidelined. However, the expert consensus remains firmly with the hosts. Football Whispers, SportsGambler, and Forebet all tip a Toulouse victory, with predictions ranging from a tight 2-1 to a comfortable 2-0 clean sheet. SportsGambler even highlights defender Charlie Cresswell, who has three goals in his last nine home Ligue 1 outings, as a potential scorer. Given Nice's abysmal away form and Toulouse's momentum, the odds of 1.95 for a Toulouse win present a compelling opportunity.

Toulouse presents excellent value at 1.95 against a floundering Nice side. The hosts have shown resilience, losing just once in their last five matches despite a recent setback against Lens. Their bounce-back victory in the Coupe de France demonstrates mental fortitude that should serve them well.

Nice's form is deeply concerning – winless in seven league matches and four consecutive away defeats paints a bleak picture. Their Coupe de France win over Nantes offers minimal reassurance given their broader struggles.

While Toulouse's absences are noteworthy, particularly Emersonn's suspension, their home advantage and psychological edge from recent head-to-head dominance (Nice winless in four straight meetings) should prove decisive. Charlie Cresswell's goal threat from defense adds another dimension to Toulouse's attack.

The form trajectories of both teams couldn't be clearer – Toulouse pushing for European spots while Nice battles relegation concerns. Expect a 2-1 home victory as multiple expert predictions suggest.

Toulouse are gearing up for a crucial Ligue 1 clash at home against a faltering Nice side, and the momentum is firmly with the hosts. Sitting eighth in the table, Toulouse have bounced back impressively from a heavy defeat to Lens, securing just one loss in their last five outings overall, including a gritty Coupe de France win over Angers. That resilience will be key as they eye a top-six spot.

Nice, meanwhile, are in dire straits at 14th, enduring a winless streak of seven Ligue 1 matches and four consecutive away losses. Their recent Coupe de France upset over Nantes ended a nine-game skid, but it feels like a blip against their broader struggles on the road.

Injuries and suspensions hit Toulouse hard with four key absences, including Ilyas Azizi, Emersonn, Rasmus Nicolaisen, and Abu Francis, potentially forcing defensive tweaks. Yet, the head-to-head history favors the Purple and Whites—Nice haven't won in four straight meetings. Experts at Football Whispers and SportsGambler are backing a narrow 2-1 Toulouse victory, highlighting defender Charlie Cresswell's scoring threat at home. Even Forebet's algorithm predicts a 2-0 shutout, underscoring the hosts' superior form.

With Toulouse at 1.95 offering solid value, this screams a profitable home win bet. The Téfécé's hunger and Nice's woes make it a no-brainer for punters seeking an edge.

Toulouse aims for a top-six push, riding momentum with one loss in five games despite missing key players like Emersonn and Nicolaisen. Their home edge at Stadium de Toulouse is a significant factor.

Nice struggles in 14th, winless in seven Ligue 1 matches and saddled with four straight away defeats. A recent cup upset over Nantes provides little comfort against their league woes.

Experts from Football Whispers and SportsGambler forecast a 2-1 Toulouse win, backed by head-to-head dominance where Nice hasn't won in four meetings. Forebet's algorithm even predicts a 2-0 shutout, highlighting Toulouse's superior form.

For value, Toulouse at 1.95 is the prudent pick, while Nice 4.06 and Draw 3.63 offer high-risk, low-probability payouts.

Toulouse enters this Ligue 1 clash with a clear edge in form and motivation, sitting eighth and chasing a top-six finish. Despite missing key players like Ilyas Azizi and Emersonn, their recent performances—just one loss in five games—highlight their resilience. Nice, on the other hand, is mired in a dismal run, winless in seven league matches and suffering four consecutive away defeats. While they snapped a nine-game losing streak in the Coupe de France, their struggles in Ligue 1 remain glaring.

The odds reflect Toulouse's favoritism, with the hosts priced at 1.95 compared to Nice’s 4.06. A draw sits at 3.63, but given Nice’s defensive frailties and Toulouse’s superior momentum, backing the home side feels like the smarter play. Experts from Football Whispers and SportsGambler both predict a tight 2-1 victory for Toulouse, while Forebet’s algorithm leans toward a clean sheet in a 2-0 win. These projections align with Toulouse’s recent offensive efficiency, especially at home.

Charlie Cresswell’s knack for finding the net adds another layer of intrigue. With three goals in his last nine home appearances, he could be pivotal against a porous Nice defense. Considering all factors, Toulouse’s hunger, stronger form, and head-to-head dominance make them the logical choice to secure all three points.