Betting tips from AI for Tristan Schoolkate vs Corentin Moutet, 18 January 2026.

Bookmakers and the market make the stance clear: Corentin Moutet is the strong favorite here, trading as the moneyline choice at 1.36 while Tristan Schoolkate drifts long at 3.41. The public prices Moutet at roughly a 70% shot, and the rankings back that—Moutet sits at No.34 after a steady climb, while Schoolkate is an exciting newcomer at No.97 coming through qualifying.

Tactically this reads as a Moutet match. His dropshots and ability to grind deep balls should blunt Schoolkate’s booming serve if he can vary pace and force extended rallies. Schoolkate must step inside on second serves and seize short balls, but big-match experience and pattern play favor Moutet. For a $1 wager seeking the most reliable return, backing Corentin Moutet is the pragmatic, value-aligned choice.

The Australian Open first round features a compelling clash between rising Aussie talent Tristan Schoolkate and the wily French world No. 34, Corentin Moutet. Betting markets strongly favor Moutet at 1.36, reflecting his consistent form and significant ranking advantage. Moutet has climbed impressively from No. 70 to No. 34, while Schoolkate, though breaking into the top 100 at No. 97, is still finding his footing at this elite level.

Moutet's game plan is perfectly suited to counter Schoolkate's aggressive style. His strategy involves disrupting powerful servers with forehand dropshots and engaging in grueling, deep-ball rallies to wear down opponents. This tactical acumen, combined with his higher ranking and experience on big stages, gives him a distinct edge. Schoolkate’s path to victory relies on flawless execution of his booming serves and dictating play, which will be a tough ask against Moutet's tricky game. The smart money is on Moutet to advance, making his 1.36 odds the profitable play.

The rankings gap between Moutet (34) and Schoolkate (97) tells a significant story in this Australian Open first-round matchup. Moutet's experience at 1.36 odds reflects his steady climb from 70th last year, while Schoolkate has only recently cracked the top 100.

Schoolkate's power game could trouble Moutet if he lands his booming first serves consistently and takes control from the baseline. However, the Frenchman's crafty game plan of using dropshots to disrupt Schoolkate's rhythm and grinding out long rallies plays perfectly into the experience disparity.

Moutet's tactical acumen will likely prove decisive as betting markets give him a 70% chance of victory for good reason. The pressure of the big stage will test Schoolkate's nerves, while Moutet's proven ability to seal tight sets should carry him through potential difficult moments. The qualifier's 3.41 odds reflect the uphill battle he faces against the established tour veteran.

In the sweltering heat of Melbourne, Australian Open first-round action pits local qualifier Tristan Schoolkate against the crafty Corentin Moutet, with betting markets installing the Frenchman as a heavy favorite at 1.36 odds, implying a 70% win probability. Schoolkate, the Aussie wildcard cracking the top 100 at No. 97 after a meteoric rise from outside the top 150, brings raw power and home-crowd energy. His game plan? Boom first serves into the corners to disrupt Moutet's rhythm and step inside the baseline to smother seconds with deep, dictating groundstrokes.

But Moutet, the world No. 34 who's climbed from 70 last year, thrives on variety and big-match savvy. Expect him to pepper forehand dropshots, luring the aggressive Schoolkate forward, then grind out those grueling rallies with deep balls to exploit any nerves. As a qualifier facing a seeded foe on home soil, Schoolkate's upside is tempting at 3.41, but Moutet's experience in tight sets should prevail in a competitive three-setter.

This matchup screams value on the underdog for thrill-seekers, but the smart money banks on Moutet's tactical edge to advance.

Corentin Moutet is heavily favored with odds of 1.36, backed by his No. 34 ranking and experience. Yet, Tristan Schoolkate's rapid rise to No. 97 and powerful serve-first blueprint could disrupt Moutet's crafty dropshots and rally grinding.

At odds of 3.41, Schoolkate offers tantalizing value for an Aussie qualifier with momentum and home-crowd energy. Betting on this underdog aligns with a high-reward strategy in a match where nerves may tip the scales.

Corentin Moutet enters this Australian Open first-round clash as the clear favorite, with odds of 1.36 reflecting his status as a 70% probability to win. Ranked No. 34 in the world, Moutet has shown steady improvement over the past year, climbing from outside the top 70. His crafty game plan—mixing forehand drop shots, deep baseline grinding, and capitalizing on pressure moments—makes him a tricky opponent for any rising player. Tristan Schoolkate, ranked No. 97, has enjoyed a meteoric rise into the top 100 but faces a daunting task against an opponent with superior experience and consistency at this level.

Schoolkate’s best chance lies in his serve. If he can consistently hit booming first serves into the corners and step inside the baseline to dictate play, he might unsettle Moutet early. However, Moutet thrives in long rallies and is adept at exploiting nerves in high-stakes matches. Given the gulf in rankings and Moutet’s proven ability to perform under pressure, it’s hard to see Schoolkate pulling off the upset here despite his potential.

From a betting perspective, backing Moutet at 1.36 feels like the safer, more calculated move. While Schoolkate’s odds of 3.41 are tempting, the risk outweighs the reward given Moutet’s polished game and recent form.