Betting tips from AI for TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen, 17 January 2026.

Hoffenheim's home run is impossible to ignore — five straight Bundesliga wins at PreZero Arena, each with 3+ goals, capped by a ruthless 5-1 dismantling of Monchengladbach. That momentum and the hosts' August shock 2-1 win over Leverkusen give them the attacking edge and confidence to press early.

Leverkusen arrive bruised after a 4-1 drubbing by Stuttgart and three non-wins in seven, with away form a clear worry. Bookmakers price the match Hoffenheim 2.34, Bayer Leverkusen 2.84, Draw 3.96. For a $1 stake, backing TSG Hoffenheim looks like the best value: high-scoring home side versus a shaky Leverkusen defense, so expect the hosts to edge it again.

TSG Hoffenheim are absolutely flying, riding a scorching five-game Bundesliga home winning streak, each victory seeing them net three or more goals. Fresh off a ruthless 5-1 dismantling of Monchengladbach, they are rightfully eyeing Champions League spots. Bookmakers are leaning their way, with 2.34 odds reflecting a strong 42% win probability. Contrast this with Bayer Leverkusen, who are limping in after a humiliating 4-1 demolition by Stuttgart, their fourth non-win in seven games. Their road form is particularly shaky, having suffered two recent away flops. Adding to the narrative, Hoffenheim already shocked Leverkusen 2-1 in August's reverse fixture, and their last nine clashes have all exploded with 3+ goals. Given Hoffenheim's sharp upswing and Leverkusen's current woes, especially away from home, the smart money is on the home side to continue their impressive run. This looks like another high-scoring affair, but Hoffenheim's momentum is undeniable.

Hoffenheim's home form is simply too compelling to ignore right now. They've won five consecutive Bundesliga matches at PreZero Arena, scoring at least three goals in each – a remarkable offensive display that makes their 2.34 odds look generous. Their recent 5-1 thrashing of Monchengladbach further showcases their attacking prowess.

Meanwhile, Leverkusen appears to be in free fall. Their 4-1 demolition by Stuttgart marked their fourth non-win in seven matches, with three losses in their last five. More concerning is their away form, with two recent road defeats exposing significant defensive vulnerabilities.

The head-to-head history adds another compelling layer – Hoffenheim already defeated Leverkusen 2-1 earlier this season. With Hoffenheim sitting fifth and eyeing Champions League qualification, they have everything to play for against a Leverkusen side struggling for consistency.

With bookmakers giving Hoffenheim a 42% win probability and their current goal-scoring form, backing the home side represents the best value in this matchup.

Hoffenheim is on fire at home, riding a five-game Bundesliga winning streak where they've scored at least three goals each time. That momentum has them fifth in the table with 30 points and a game in hand, just two behind Stuttgart for Champions League contention. Their latest 5-1 thrashing of Monchengladbach underscores this sharp upswing, and analysts like SportyTrader are calling for an outright home win against a faltering Leverkusen.

Leverkusen, meanwhile, is stumbling badly. A 4-1 humiliation at Stuttgart marks their fourth non-win in seven, with three losses in five, including two road disasters that highlight their away woes. They sit vulnerable after that August 2-1 upset loss to Hoffenheim in the reverse fixture.

Head-to-head history screams goals: all nine recent clashes hit 3+ goals, and SportsMole predicts a 3-2 thriller here. With Hoffenheim at 2.34 offering solid value against Leverkusen's 2.84, I'm betting on the hosts to capitalize on their form and PreZero Arena fortress for a profitable edge.

Hoffenheim's scorching home streak—five straight wins with 3+ goals each—makes them a formidable bet at odds of 2.34, especially after a ruthless 5-1 dismantling of Monchengladbach.

Leverkusen is reeling from a 4-1 demolition by Stuttgart, highlighting shaky away form with three losses in five road games, making their 2.84 odds risky.

With head-to-head history favoring fireworks and Hoffenheim's 2-1 win in August, the hosts' momentum and Champions League pursuit should seal a victory in this Bundesliga thriller.

TSG Hoffenheim enters this Bundesliga clash riding an impressive wave of form at the PreZero Arena, with five consecutive home wins, each featuring 3+ goals. Their attacking prowess has been undeniable, as evidenced by their recent 5-1 demolition of Monchengladbach. This sharp upswing places them fifth in the table with 30 points, just two behind Stuttgart, fueling their ambition for a Champions League spot. The odds of 2.34 reflect their strong position, though bookies slightly favor Bayer Leverkusen at 2.84.

Leverkusen, however, arrives in disarray after a 4-1 drubbing by Stuttgart, marking their fourth non-win in seven matches. Their away form has been particularly shaky, losing two of their last five on the road. Despite Hoffenheim's shock 2-1 win in August’s reverse fixture, Leverkusen’s struggles suggest they may not have the defensive resilience to counter Hoffenheim’s high-flying attack.

The historical trend between these sides leans heavily toward goal-laden encounters, with all nine of their last meetings producing 3+ goals. While Hoffenheim boasts momentum and home advantage, Leverkusen’s vulnerabilities make them unlikely to snatch victory. A draw, priced at 3.96, seems improbable given both teams’ tendencies to engage in open, high-scoring battles. Backing Hoffenheim looks like the smart play here.