English
English (US)
Betting tips from AI for Vegas Golden Knights vs Montréal Canadiens, 28 November 2025.
AI Consensus
1.49
Home win
5 of 6 AI models pick Vegas Golden Knights to win at
1.49
ChatGPT tip
Draw
4.40
ChatGPT prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs Montréal Canadiens, 28 November 2025.
Vegas is favored, but the value leans elsewhere. Books hang Vegas at 1.87 and Montreal at 3.45, yet the regulation Draw at 4.40 stands out given both teams’ profiles.
The Golden Knights have dropped three straight and keep getting dragged past 60, struggling beyond regulation per their shaky overtime record. Montreal thrives in tight games, banking 17 points from 12 one-goal contests. Vegas drives play (30.1 shots to Montreal’s 25.1) and owns the defensive edge (2.91 GA vs 3.50), but the Habs’ attack (3.45 GF) counters Vegas’s 3.09—an ideal recipe for a late tie.
Even with projections giving Vegas ~51% and a 4-2 lean, the matchup trends toward another nail-biter. The draw’s 4.40 price outpaces its likely frequency, making it the smartest $1 punt.
The Golden Knights have dropped three straight and keep getting dragged past 60, struggling beyond regulation per their shaky overtime record. Montreal thrives in tight games, banking 17 points from 12 one-goal contests. Vegas drives play (30.1 shots to Montreal’s 25.1) and owns the defensive edge (2.91 GA vs 3.50), but the Habs’ attack (3.45 GF) counters Vegas’s 3.09—an ideal recipe for a late tie.
Even with projections giving Vegas ~51% and a 4-2 lean, the matchup trends toward another nail-biter. The draw’s 4.40 price outpaces its likely frequency, making it the smartest $1 punt.
Gemini tip
Vegas Golden Knights win
1.49
Gemini prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs Montréal Canadiens, 28 November 2025.
The Vegas Golden Knights enter this contest on a frustrating three-game losing streak, but a return to the fortress of T-Mobile Arena presents a perfect opportunity to get back on track. Despite recent struggles, Vegas holds fundamental advantages over their Canadian visitors.
The primary mismatch lies in puck possession and defensive structure. The Golden Knights rank 5th in the NHL, averaging 30.1 shots per game, and will be firing at a Canadiens team that bleeds goals, surrendering 3.50 per game (27th in the league). While Montreal boasts a top-3 offense, their defensive frailties are a major concern on the road.
Vegas's recent 1-8-9 record in close games is alarming, but their statistical dominance in shot generation and superior defensive metrics (allowing just 2.91 goals per game) suggest they are the better all-around team. Expect the Knights to control the pace and exploit Montreal's defensive lapses, making the 1.87 moneyline a solid value bet for the home side to snap their skid.
The primary mismatch lies in puck possession and defensive structure. The Golden Knights rank 5th in the NHL, averaging 30.1 shots per game, and will be firing at a Canadiens team that bleeds goals, surrendering 3.50 per game (27th in the league). While Montreal boasts a top-3 offense, their defensive frailties are a major concern on the road.
Vegas's recent 1-8-9 record in close games is alarming, but their statistical dominance in shot generation and superior defensive metrics (allowing just 2.91 goals per game) suggest they are the better all-around team. Expect the Knights to control the pace and exploit Montreal's defensive lapses, making the 1.87 moneyline a solid value bet for the home side to snap their skid.
Claude tip
Vegas Golden Knights win
1.49
Claude prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs Montréal Canadiens, 28 November 2025.
Despite Vegas's three-game losing streak, the Golden Knights present compelling value at 1.87 against Montreal's struggling defense. The Canadiens surrender 3.50 goals per game (27th in NHL) while Vegas generates significantly more shots (30.1 vs 25.1 per game).
Vegas's concerning 1-8-9 overtime record actually works in their favor here, as they're 9-1-5 when scoring multiple goals. Montreal's road struggles and porous defensive play make them vulnerable despite their superior offensive output.
The Golden Knights' home advantage at T-Mobile Arena, combined with Montreal's recent 2-3 record over five games, creates an opportunity. Computer models project a 4-2 Vegas victory with 51% win probability, supporting the value proposition at current odds.
Vegas's concerning 1-8-9 overtime record actually works in their favor here, as they're 9-1-5 when scoring multiple goals. Montreal's road struggles and porous defensive play make them vulnerable despite their superior offensive output.
The Golden Knights' home advantage at T-Mobile Arena, combined with Montreal's recent 2-3 record over five games, creates an opportunity. Computer models project a 4-2 Vegas victory with 51% win probability, supporting the value proposition at current odds.
Grok tip
Vegas Golden Knights win
1.49
Grok prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs Montréal Canadiens, 28 November 2025.
The Vegas Golden Knights are set to host the Montréal Canadiens in what promises to be an intriguing NHL clash at T-Mobile Arena. Coming off a three-game skid, Vegas sits at 10-5-8, but they've shown dominance when lighting the lamp multiple times, boasting a 9-1-5 record in games with more than two goals. Their edge in shot volume—averaging 30.1 per game, fifth in the league—could overwhelm Montréal's leaky defense, which ranks 27th by allowing 3.50 goals nightly.
On the flip side, the Canadiens roll in with a 12-7-3 mark, but they've struggled lately, winning just two of their last five and posting a 3-4-3 record over the past 10 while being outscored 39-32. Montréal's offense is potent, averaging 3.45 goals per game (third in the NHL), yet Vegas's solid defense (2.91 goals against, 14th) should keep them in check.
Computer models project a 4-2 Vegas win, aligning with their favored status at 1.87. While draws tempt at 4.40, the Golden Knights' home ice advantage and statistical edges make them the smart pick to snap their slump.
On the flip side, the Canadiens roll in with a 12-7-3 mark, but they've struggled lately, winning just two of their last five and posting a 3-4-3 record over the past 10 while being outscored 39-32. Montréal's offense is potent, averaging 3.45 goals per game (third in the NHL), yet Vegas's solid defense (2.91 goals against, 14th) should keep them in check.
Computer models project a 4-2 Vegas win, aligning with their favored status at 1.87. While draws tempt at 4.40, the Golden Knights' home ice advantage and statistical edges make them the smart pick to snap their slump.
DeepSeek tip
Vegas Golden Knights win
1.49
DeepSeek prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs Montréal Canadiens, 28 November 2025.
The Vegas Golden Knights are in a slump with three straight losses and a concerning 1-8-9 record in overtime situations. However, they hold a commanding edge in shot volume, ranking 5th with 30.1 shots per game compared to Montreal's 29th-ranked 25.1. While Montreal's offense is potent at 3.45 goals per game, their defense is a major liability, allowing 3.50 goals nightly. With Vegas heavily favored in computer models projecting a 4-2 win, the home team's underlying dominance and Montreal's defensive woes make the Knights' moneyline at 1.87 a valuable play.
The Canadiens have won just two of their last five and have been outscored 39-32 over their past ten games, showing inconsistency that Vegas can exploit on home ice. Given the statistical mismatch and projected outcome, backing the favorite offers the clearest path to profit.
The Canadiens have won just two of their last five and have been outscored 39-32 over their past ten games, showing inconsistency that Vegas can exploit on home ice. Given the statistical mismatch and projected outcome, backing the favorite offers the clearest path to profit.
Qwen tip
Vegas Golden Knights win
1.49
Qwen prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs Montréal Canadiens, 28 November 2025.
The Vegas Golden Knights, despite hitting a rough patch with three consecutive losses, still hold the statistical edge in this matchup. Their ability to generate shots on goal (30.1 per game, 5th in the league) gives them a consistent offensive threat, even if their recent form has been shaky. Montreal’s porous defense, conceding 3.50 goals per game (27th in the NHL), could struggle to contain Vegas’ firepower, especially at home where the Golden Knights have traditionally performed well.
Montreal enters with a slightly better record over their last five games but has been inconsistent overall, managing just a 3-4-3 record in their last 10 outings. While they’ve shown resilience in one-goal games, their defensive frailties make them vulnerable against a team like Vegas that can score in bunches. The Canadiens' offense is potent, averaging 3.45 goals per game, but their lack of defensive discipline may cost them dearly here.
The odds reflect Vegas’ favoritism, with their moneyline sitting at 1.87, compared to Montreal’s 3.45. Given the Golden Knights’ superior shot volume and home advantage, combined with Montreal’s defensive struggles, this seems justified. Computer models project a 4-2 win for Vegas, aligning with analytical forecasts giving them a 51% chance to win. Betting on the Golden Knights looks like the smart play despite their recent slump.
While Montreal’s odds are tempting, their inability to shut down opponents makes them a risky proposition. A draw at 4.40 is unlikely given the offensive tendencies of both teams.
Montreal enters with a slightly better record over their last five games but has been inconsistent overall, managing just a 3-4-3 record in their last 10 outings. While they’ve shown resilience in one-goal games, their defensive frailties make them vulnerable against a team like Vegas that can score in bunches. The Canadiens' offense is potent, averaging 3.45 goals per game, but their lack of defensive discipline may cost them dearly here.
The odds reflect Vegas’ favoritism, with their moneyline sitting at 1.87, compared to Montreal’s 3.45. Given the Golden Knights’ superior shot volume and home advantage, combined with Montreal’s defensive struggles, this seems justified. Computer models project a 4-2 win for Vegas, aligning with analytical forecasts giving them a 51% chance to win. Betting on the Golden Knights looks like the smart play despite their recent slump.
While Montreal’s odds are tempting, their inability to shut down opponents makes them a risky proposition. A draw at 4.40 is unlikely given the offensive tendencies of both teams.
Match News
## Match Preview: Golden Knights Host Canadiens
The Vegas Golden Knights will face the Montreal Canadiens at T-Mobile Arena on Friday, November 28 at 4:00 PM ET.[1] Vegas enters as the betting favorite with a moneyline of -192 and a spread of -1.5, with the game total set at 6.5.[2]
## Team Form and Recent Performance
Vegas has hit a rough patch, dropping three consecutive games and sitting at 10-5-8 on the season.[1] The Golden Knights have struggled in close contests, posting a concerning 1-8-9 record in overtime situations.[1] However, they've been dominant when scoring multiple goals, going 9-1-5 in games with more than two goals.[1]
Montreal arrives with a 12-7-3 record and has won just 2 of their last 5 games.[2] The Canadiens have been more resilient in one-goal contests, earning 17 points from 12 such games.[1] Over their past 10 outings, Montreal has managed a 3-4-3 record while allowing 39 goals against their 32 scored.[1]
## Statistical Matchup
Vegas holds a significant advantage in shot volume, averaging 30.1 shots per game compared to Montreal's 25.1, ranking 5th and 29th in the league respectively.[1] The Golden Knights allow 2.91 goals per game (14th in the league), while Montreal's defense has been porous, surrendering 3.50 goals nightly (27th overall).[1] Offensively, Montreal edges Vegas with 3.45 goals per game (3rd) against Vegas's 3.09 (13th).[1]
## Expert Predictions
Computer projection models favor Vegas with a predicted final score of 4-2.[1] The Golden Knights are favored to win with approximately 51% probability according to analytical forecasts.[4]
The Vegas Golden Knights will face the Montreal Canadiens at T-Mobile Arena on Friday, November 28 at 4:00 PM ET.[1] Vegas enters as the betting favorite with a moneyline of -192 and a spread of -1.5, with the game total set at 6.5.[2]
## Team Form and Recent Performance
Vegas has hit a rough patch, dropping three consecutive games and sitting at 10-5-8 on the season.[1] The Golden Knights have struggled in close contests, posting a concerning 1-8-9 record in overtime situations.[1] However, they've been dominant when scoring multiple goals, going 9-1-5 in games with more than two goals.[1]
Montreal arrives with a 12-7-3 record and has won just 2 of their last 5 games.[2] The Canadiens have been more resilient in one-goal contests, earning 17 points from 12 such games.[1] Over their past 10 outings, Montreal has managed a 3-4-3 record while allowing 39 goals against their 32 scored.[1]
## Statistical Matchup
Vegas holds a significant advantage in shot volume, averaging 30.1 shots per game compared to Montreal's 25.1, ranking 5th and 29th in the league respectively.[1] The Golden Knights allow 2.91 goals per game (14th in the league), while Montreal's defense has been porous, surrendering 3.50 goals nightly (27th overall).[1] Offensively, Montreal edges Vegas with 3.45 goals per game (3rd) against Vegas's 3.09 (13th).[1]
## Expert Predictions
Computer projection models favor Vegas with a predicted final score of 4-2.[1] The Golden Knights are favored to win with approximately 51% probability according to analytical forecasts.[4]
See how multiple AI models rate Vegas Golden Knights vs Montréal Canadiens. We aggregate today's
betting tips and highlight agreement between models when it occurs. Use this page to scan the overall
picture quickly, then open any model's detailed tip to read short reasoning.