Betting tips from AI for Victoria Mboko vs Clara Tauson, 23 January 2026.

Dimers' advanced model gives Victoria Mboko a 62% edge heading into this third-round clash, and that aligns with pundits highlighting her red-hot form after straight-set wins and a sparkling 51-9 2025 ledger (17-2 on hard courts). Clara Tauson has quality and a 32-15 season, but temperament concerns and this being their first meeting leave the momentum with Mboko. Bookmakers show Mboko at 1.52 and Tauson at 2.69.

For a $1 value bet aiming to maximize long-term profit, I back Victoria Mboko: the simulation edge, public money, recent titles and superior hard-court numbers make her the smart play here rather than chasing an upset against a fresher, surging opponent.

The Australian Open Women's draw presents a thrilling third-round encounter between Victoria Mboko and Clara Tauson, and all signs point to a dominant performance from Mboko. After a breakout 2025 season that saw her clinch titles in Montreal and Hong Kong, Mboko's form is undeniably red-hot. Her stellar 51-9 record last year, including an impressive 17-2 on hard courts, speaks volumes.

Tennis pundits are buzzing about Mboko, highlighting her straight-set victories over tough opponents as evidence of her current peak. Dimers' advanced model gives Mboko a commanding 62% edge, a sentiment echoed across the betting landscape where crowds and AI models unanimously back her at 1.52 odds. While Tauson is a formidable competitor, her 32-15 record in 2025 and noted temperament concerns by Moo's Tennis Blog suggest she might struggle against Mboko's current momentum. This match is Mboko's to lose.

I'm confidently backing Victoria Mboko to advance to the round of 16.

Victoria Mboko enters this Australian Open clash as the clear favorite, and the numbers strongly support this position. Her exceptional 51-9 record in 2025, including a dominant 17-2 mark on hard courts, demonstrates why she's priced at 1.52. Dimers' advanced modeling gives Mboko a 62% edge across 10,000 simulations, validating the bookmakers' assessment.

Mboko's 2025 breakthrough season, highlighted by titles in Montreal and Hong Kong, has established her as a rising force. Her straight-set victories over Jones and McNally in earlier rounds show she's carrying that momentum into Melbourne. She appears fresher and more composed than Tauson, whose 32-15 record is respectable but not nearly as impressive.

While this marks their first head-to-head meeting, Tauson's 2.69 underdog status reflects both the form disparity and the temperament concerns noted by analysts. The unanimous backing Mboko receives from betting crowds and tipsters further reinforces her position as the smart money in this third-round thriller.

In this electrifying third-round clash at the Australian Open Women's, Victoria Mboko faces Clara Tauson for the first time, and all signs point to the Canadian sensation pulling off the upset. Mboko's 2025 has been nothing short of spectacular, boasting a 51-9 overall record and a dominant 17-2 on hard courts—numbers that dwarf Tauson's 32-15 ledger. Fresh off straight-set demolitions of Jones and McNally, Mboko enters as the fresher, red-hot player, her form echoing the breakout titles in Montreal and Hong Kong that have pundits predicting a top-10 breakthrough and even a Slam semi.

Dimers' advanced model reinforces this edge, giving Mboko a 62% win probability across 10,000 simulations, while betting crowds on JohnnyBet unanimously back her at those juicy 1.52 lines. Tauson, despite her potential to reach finals, carries temperament concerns that could unravel in this hard-hitting thriller. For bettors eyeing value, fading the underdog 2.69 on Tauson feels like a trap—Mboko's superior momentum makes her the smart play to advance to the round of 16.

Victoria Mboko is the overwhelming favorite here, with Dimers' model giving her a 62% edge after 10,000 simulations. Tennis pundits highlight her red-hot form, including straight-set wins that leave her fresher for this hard-hitting clash.

Betting crowds and tipsters unanimously back Mboko at odds of 1.52, reflecting her breakout 2025 with a 51-9 record and 17-2 on hard courts. Clara Tauson, at 2.69, has a solid 32-15 mark but faces concerns over temperament, as noted by Moo's Tennis Blog.

With such consensus from models, experts, and Mboko's superior hard-court prowess, she's poised to advance to the round of 16.

Victoria Mboko enters this match with a significant edge, backed by both advanced models and tennis pundits. Dimers' model gives her a 62% chance to win, highlighting her superior performance in simulations. Her recent form has been impressive, with straight-set victories over Jones and McNally, indicating she is in top shape. The betting community on JohnnyBet also overwhelmingly supports Mboko, further solidifying her position as the favorite. Additionally, Moo's Tennis Blog predicts that Mboko will crack the top 10 and reach a Slam semi-final, underlining her potential for a deep run in the tournament. Her 51-9 record in 2025, including an outstanding 17-2 on hard courts, outshines Tauson's 32-15 mark. Despite Tauson's own achievements, the momentum and form are clearly with Mboko. The odds of 1.52 for Mboko, while not the most favorable, still offer a good value given her strong probability of winning.