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AI betting stats / ChatGPT

ChatGPT betting tips

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Event Date
ROI -4.5%
Win Rate 46.3%
Avg. Odds - 2.92

ChatGPT ROI

ROI based on real bookmaker odds, match outcome market only 1X2 (Win/Draw/Win)

ChatGPT match-outcome win rate (1X2)

Match & Predictions
Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/18 - 22:00 (UTC)
LDU Quito
Sao Paulo
Football
CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores

tip from ChatGPT

Draw
Best value is the draw at 3.17: LDU’s altitude edge is priced in, while São Paulo’s pragmatic first-leg approach pushes this toward a 0-0 or 1-1.
Lost

5 of 6 AI models pick Colorado Rockies to win at 2.50
25/09/18 - 19:10 (UTC)
Colorado Rockies
Miami Marlins
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Colorado Rockies
Taking the Rockies at home at 2.52 where Coors Field amplifies variance and erodes Miami’s edge; Colorado’s true win chance likely exceeds the implied 40%.
Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Barcelona to win at 2.73
25/09/18 - 19:00 (UTC)
Newcastle United
Barcelona
Football
UEFA Champions League

tip from ChatGPT

Newcastle United
Newcastle’s home edge and set‑piece/pressing profile create a small but real value gap versus their price at +186, making the Magpies the smarter side of a tight market.
Lost

6 of 6 AI models pick Eintracht Frankfurt to win at 2.28
25/09/18 - 19:00 (UTC)
Eintracht Frankfurt
Galatasaray
Football
UEFA Champions League

tip from ChatGPT

Eintracht Frankfurt
Back Eintracht Frankfurt at home at 2.10; their pressing, set-piece edge, and venue push their true win probability above the market’s implied 47.6%.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Sporting Lisbon to win at 1.09
25/09/18 - 19:00 (UTC)
Sporting Lisbon
FC Kairat
Football
UEFA Champions League

tip from ChatGPT

Draw
The market has overcompressed Sporting’s price, leaving the Draw at 13.22 as clear value given realistic 10–15% stalemate chances. I’m backing the Draw for its superior expected return.
Lost

6 of 6 AI models pick Manchester City to win at 1.64
25/09/18 - 19:00 (UTC)
Manchester City
Napoli
Football
UEFA Champions League

tip from ChatGPT

Manchester City
City’s home control and sustained chance creation make -149 a positive-value entry; our fair price is closer to the -170 to -185 range. The underdog paths exist, but they’re not frequent enough to override the edge on the hosts.
Won

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/18 - 18:11 (UTC)
Kansas City Royals
Seattle Mariners
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Kansas City Royals
Small home-dog value: Kauffman’s power suppression and KC’s contact/speed profile narrow the gap, making +110 a positive-EV bite. I’d back the Royals down to about +105.
Lost

6 of 6 AI models pick Boston Red Sox to win at 2.80
25/09/18 - 17:36 (UTC)
Boston Red Sox
Oakland Athletics
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Boston Red Sox
Backing Boston at home: the Red Sox’s lineup depth and bullpen edge make the -152 price playable, projecting a true win rate in the low-to-mid 60s over Oakland.
Lost

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/18 - 17:11 (UTC)
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Detroit Tigers
Back Detroit on the moneyline at 1.43; the pitching edge and Comerica’s run-suppressing environment make the Tigers’ implied win rate a touch low, yielding a small but real EV edge.
Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick New York Mets to win at 1.48
25/09/18 - 17:11 (UTC)
New York Mets
San Diego Padres
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

San Diego Padres
Back the Padres at +130 for a small but real edge in a low-variance park, where underdogs benefit and the Mets’ -154 price likely overstates the gap.
Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Tampa Bay Rays to win at 1.69
25/09/18 - 17:11 (UTC)
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Tampa Bay Rays
Take the Rays at home as small underdogs; Tropicana’s run suppression plus Tampa Bay’s bullpen and platoon depth justify a slight edge at the current price.
Won

4 of 6 AI models pick AS Monaco to win at 3.00
25/09/18 - 16:45 (UTC)
Club Brugge
AS Monaco
Football
UEFA Champions League

tip from ChatGPT

Club Brugge
Slight market edge on the home dog: Brugge’s set-piece bite and home intensity make the 2.72 price too big versus Monaco’s away volatility.
Won

6 of 6 AI models pick Bayer Leverkusen to win at 2.42
25/09/18 - 16:45 (UTC)
FC Copenhagen
Bayer Leverkusen
Football
UEFA Champions League

tip from ChatGPT

Bayer Leverkusen
Leverkusen’s quality and tactical fit versus Copenhagen’s low block make the plus-money price the best value. At 2.25, the visitors offer positive long-term expectation.
Lost

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/18 - 14:30 (UTC)
Sri Lanka
Afghanistan
Cricket
Asia Cup

tip from ChatGPT

Afghanistan
Afghanistan at plus money offers the better value in a near 50/50 matchup, thanks to elite spin and improved top-order stability that align well against Sri Lanka’s vulnerabilities.
Lost

6 of 6 AI models pick Liam Paro to win at 1.08
25/09/18 - 11:00 (UTC)
Liam Paro
David Papot
Boxing
Boxing Bouts

tip from ChatGPT

Liam Paro
Back Liam Paro at 1.07: his southpaw craft, pace control, and class edge make him the most reliable and still slightly +EV side versus Papot’s low-power, decision-first style.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Doosan Bears to win at 1.50
25/09/18 - 09:30 (UTC)
Doosan Bears
Kiwoom Heroes
Baseball
KBO League, South Korea

tip from ChatGPT

Doosan Bears
Doosan’s run-prevention profile at pitcher-friendly Jamsil pushes their true win rate above the -197 break-even, making the Bears a small but positive-EV moneyline play. Kiwoom’s +150 path requires too much to break right in a low-volatility environment.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Kia Tigers to win at 1.47
25/09/18 - 09:30 (UTC)
Kia Tigers
Hanwha Eagles
Baseball
KBO League, South Korea

tip from ChatGPT

Hanwha Eagles
Backing Hanwha at 2.36 offers positive expected value in a volatile KBO spot where Kia’s 1.57 price looks inflated. The park, bullpen variance, and league parity give the Eagles enough paths to clear the modest 42% break-even.
Won

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/18 - 09:30 (UTC)
KT Wiz
LG Twins
Baseball
KBO League, South Korea

tip from ChatGPT

KT Wiz
Value on the home dog: KT Wiz at plus money is priced below a reasonable true win rate, making their moneyline the higher‑EV side versus an overtaxed LG road favorite.
Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Samsung Lions to win at 1.67
25/09/18 - 09:30 (UTC)
NC Dinos
Samsung Lions
Baseball
KBO League, South Korea

tip from ChatGPT

NC Dinos
Taking the slight plus money on the home side. NC’s home-field edge and KBO bullpen volatility make +101 a small but real value against a road favorite.
Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Chiba Lotte Marines to win at 1.81
25/09/18 - 09:00 (UTC)
Chiba Lotte Marines
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
Baseball
Nippon Professional Baseball, Japan

tip from ChatGPT

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
In a low-scoring park that increases variance, the plus-money on Rakuten at 2.05 offers better long-term value than Lotte at 1.81. Take the underdog in what profiles as a coin-flip game.
Lost