Jamie Mullarkey vs Rolando Bedoya — ChatGPT betting tip 28 September 2025.

Near pick’em prices here, and that’s where small stylistic edges matter most. The market has Jamie Mullarkey at 1.89 (roughly 52.9% implied) and Rolando Bedoya at 1.96 (about 51.0%), with the Draw a remote 46.00. My lean is Bedoya, as his profile better exploits Mullarkey’s known vulnerabilities while still holding up over three rounds if this turns into a volume kickboxing match.

Mullarkey is a willing pocket fighter who builds momentum behind a busy jab, inside low kicks, and clinch pressure. He’s tough and game, but that style leaves him hittable, and the damage has added up. Opponents who can meet his pace, check or return the leg-kick game, and keep their feet under them against his level-change looks tend to drag him into 50/50 exchanges where his defensive gaps show. He can wrestle in spots, yet his entries are often straight-line and taxing, which makes sustained top control less reliable against composed movers.

Bedoya brings a steadier defensive shell, better kick diversity, and more efficient shot selection. He works the calf and body consistently, doesn’t overswing, and is comfortable rolling with punches to counter. Importantly, he has shown sturdy durability and the cardio to keep his form late. Against a pressure-first opponent like Mullarkey, those traits translate into cleaner moments for judges: sharp counters off Mullarkey’s first step-in, attritional damage via calf kicks that blunt forward pressure, and cage-craft to circle out rather than get stuck on the fence. On the mat, Bedoya’s balance and first-layer takedown defense are good enough to force resets; if he’s taken down, he’s hard to hold.

Tactically, expect Bedoya to target the lead leg early, make Mullarkey reset before entering, and pick at the body to sap pace. Mullarkey likely has pockets of success when he strings jab-2s into clinch ties or surprises with timed doubles, but Bedoya’s shot selection should be cleaner and his damage more visible. If the leg damage compiles, the attrition angle could even open a late finish; otherwise, Bedoya by decision is the most probable path.

From a betting perspective, I rate Bedoya’s true win probability a shade higher than the market—around 54–56%—given matchup dynamics, which creates slight positive expected value at near-even money. With Mullarkey’s defensive liability and Bedoya’s durability and kick-game advantages, that small edge is worth taking in a coin-flip price range.