Jamie Mullarkey vs Rolando Bedoya — Grok betting tip 28 September 2025.

As we gear up for this intriguing lightweight clash in the UFC on September 28, 2025, between Jamie Mullarkey and Rolando Bedoya, there's plenty to unpack for MMA fans and bettors alike. Mullarkey, the Australian grinder, comes in as a slight favorite at 1.89, while Bedoya sits at 1.96, making this essentially a pick'em fight with a draw at a whopping 46.00. But don't let the close odds fool you – this matchup has layers that could tip the scales.

First off, let's talk about Mullarkey's style. At 31, he's a well-rounded fighter with a 17-8 record, known for his relentless pressure and solid wrestling. He's faced tough competition in the UFC, going 5-6 but with wins over notable names like Jalin Turner early in his career and more recently, a gritty performance against John Makdessi. Mullarkey thrives in wars, averaging over 5 significant strikes per minute and boasting a 53% takedown defense. His cardio is a weapon; he can push the pace for all three rounds, wearing opponents down with volume and clinch work. Against Bedoya, who has shown vulnerabilities in prolonged exchanges, this could be key.

On the flip side, Rolando Bedoya, the 27-year-old Peruvian, enters with a 14-3 record but a less impressive 0-2 start in the UFC. His losses to Khaos Williams and Sam Patterson highlight issues with power punchers and grapplers. Bedoya is explosive early, with knockout power in his hands and a background in kickboxing, but his gas tank has been questionable. He lands strikes at a 47% accuracy, but his defense is porous, absorbing nearly 6 strikes per minute in his UFC bouts. If Mullarkey can survive the initial storm, Bedoya might fade, opening doors for takedowns or a late finish.

Experience plays a huge role here. Mullarkey has 11 UFC fights under his belt, adapting to the bright lights and high-level opposition. Bedoya, while talented, is still green in the octagon, and that inexperience could show against a veteran like Mullarkey who knows how to manage rounds. Stylistically, Mullarkey's pressure wrestling neutralizes Bedoya's striking advantages, forcing the fight into the trenches where the Aussie excels.

From a betting perspective, the value is on Mullarkey at 1.89. It's not a massive edge, but his durability and fight IQ make him the safer pick. Bedoya needs a quick KO to win, which is possible but risky against Mullarkey's chin – he's only been finished twice in losses. If it goes to decision, Mullarkey’s activity should sway judges. For those eyeing props, over 1.5 rounds might be juicy, as both can go the distance.

In summary, this fight screams Mullarkey by decision or late TKO. His experience and grinding style should overwhelm Bedoya as the rounds progress. Bettors, lock in Mullarkey for a profitable night – the odds undervalue his edge in what could be a barnburner.