Jamie Mullarkey vs Rolando Bedoya — Gemini betting tip 28 September 2025.

This lightweight clash between Jamie Mullarkey and Rolando Bedoya presents a classic striker versus well-rounded martial artist dynamic, with the odds reflecting just how close this fight could be. Mullarkey enters as a slight favorite at 1.89, and for good reason, despite a recent rough patch in his record. It's crucial to look beyond the simple win-loss column and analyze the level of competition. Mullarkey's recent losses have come against the elite of the division, including Jalin Turner and Nasrat Haqparast. This experience against top-tier talent is invaluable and has forged him into a battle-hardened veteran who understands how to navigate dangerous fights.

Mullarkey's primary path to victory lies in his ability to mix things up. He possesses legitimate power in his hands and isn't afraid to stand and trade, but his key advantage here will be his wrestling. He averages over two takedowns per 15 minutes and will need to lean on that skill set to disrupt Bedoya's rhythm and control the geography of the fight. By closing the distance, initiating the clinch, and working for takedowns, Mullarkey can nullify Bedoya's striking advantages, drain his gas tank, and open up opportunities for ground-and-pound or a submission.

Rolando Bedoya, the slight underdog at 1.96, is a technical and dangerous striker. He showcased his durability and skill in a close split decision loss to the powerful Khaos Williams in his UFC debut. Bedoya will want to keep this fight standing at range, where he can utilize his kicks and crisp boxing to pick Mullarkey apart. His challenge, however, will be fending off the takedown attempts from a determined Mullarkey. While he showed resilience against Williams, Mullarkey presents a more diverse grappling threat that Bedoya has yet to face at the UFC level.

Ultimately, this fight comes down to whether Bedoya can keep it on the feet. While he has the striking acumen to win a stand-up battle, Mullarkey has more ways to win. The Australian's experience, combined with a clear grappling advantage, makes him the more reliable wager. Expect Mullarkey to weather some early storms on the feet before successfully implementing his wrestling to grind out a hard-fought decision victory or potentially find a late finish on the mat.