Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula — Claude betting tip 04 September 2025.

The US Open final presents a fascinating clash between two elite players at different career stages. Aryna Sabalenka enters as the heavy favorite with odds of 1.30, reflecting her current world ranking and recent dominance on hard courts. The Belarusian powerhouse has been in exceptional form throughout 2024, capturing multiple WTA titles and establishing herself as one of the most consistent performers on tour.

Sabalenka's aggressive baseline game and devastating serve create immediate pressure on opponents. Her ability to dictate points from the opening shot has been particularly effective on the fast hard courts of Flushing Meadows. The 25-year-old has shown remarkable mental fortitude in high-pressure situations, having already claimed Grand Slam titles and proven her ability to perform when it matters most.

Jessica Pegula, offered at 3.45, brings her own compelling narrative to this matchup. The American has been building momentum throughout the tournament and possesses the tactical intelligence to trouble any opponent. Her court coverage and ability to extend rallies could prove crucial against Sabalenka's power-based approach. Playing on home soil provides additional motivation and crowd support that cannot be underestimated.

The key tactical battle centers around pace control. Sabalenka will look to overwhelm with her forehand and serve, while Pegula must neutralize that power and force longer exchanges where her consistency and court craft become advantages. Recent head-to-head encounters slightly favor Sabalenka, but Pegula has shown she can compete at this level.

Despite Pegula's home advantage and fighting spirit, Sabalenka's current form and superior firepower make her the logical choice. Her experience in major finals and ability to raise her level in crucial moments should prove decisive in what promises to be an entertaining encounter.