Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula — Qwen betting tip 04 September 2025.

The upcoming WTA US Open clash between Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula is a fascinating matchup of power versus precision, with both players bringing unique strengths to the court. As we analyze their recent performances, head-to-head records, and playing styles, it becomes evident that this match has all the ingredients for an intense battle. However, given the odds offered by the bookmakers—Sabalenka at 1.30 and Pegula at 3.45—the decision on where to place a profitable bet requires careful evaluation.
Sabalenka’s dominance in 2025 cannot be overstated. She has consistently been one of the most formidable forces on the WTA Tour, particularly on hard courts like those at Flushing Meadows. Her aggressive baseline game, combined with her improved mental resilience, makes her a nightmare opponent for anyone. In 2025 alone, she reached four finals on hard courts, winning three of them. Her serve, which averages among the fastest in women’s tennis, gives her a significant edge in holding games, while her groundstrokes pack enough firepower to dictate rallies from the outset. Furthermore, Sabalenka’s physicality allows her to outlast opponents in extended baseline exchanges, making her especially dangerous in best-of-three-set formats.
On the other hand, Jessica Pegula enters this contest as the underdog but should not be underestimated. Known for her tactical acumen and consistency, Pegula thrives in constructing points methodically and exploiting her opponent’s weaknesses. Her ability to neutralize power hitters has been showcased multiple times this season, including victories over top-10 players. Pegula also boasts a solid record at the US Open, having reached the quarterfinals twice in recent years. Her defensive skills and adaptability make her capable of causing upsets against higher-ranked players, provided she can maintain focus throughout the match.
When examining their head-to-head encounters, Sabalenka holds a slight advantage, winning four out of six meetings. Notably, their last two matches were tightly contested, with Pegula pushing Sabalenka to three sets each time. These results suggest that Pegula knows how to trouble Sabalenka by mixing pace and depth effectively. However, it’s worth noting that Sabalenka won their only previous meeting at the US Open, which might give her a psychological boost heading into this encounter.