Carlos Diego Ferreira vs Alex Hernandez — Claude betting tip 13 September 2025.

This lightweight matchup presents an intriguing clash of styles between two seasoned UFC veterans looking to climb back into contention. Carlos Diego Ferreira brings a well-rounded skill set with exceptional Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu credentials and improved striking that has evolved significantly throughout his career. The Brazilian has shown remarkable durability and fight IQ, often finding ways to win even when facing adversity.

Ferreira's grappling advantage cannot be overstated in this matchup. His submission threat from any position forces opponents to constantly defend, which opens up opportunities in the striking exchanges. His recent performances have demonstrated better cage cutting and pressure, making it difficult for opponents to maintain distance and fight at their preferred range.

Alex Hernandez possesses explosive athleticism and dangerous striking power, particularly in the early rounds. His speed and footwork can create problems for any opponent, and he's shown the ability to hurt fighters with his combinations. However, Hernandez has struggled with consistency and has been vulnerable when the fight enters deeper waters or hits the ground.

The key factor favoring Ferreira is his superior cardio and grappling depth. While Hernandez may have early success with his striking, Ferreira's ability to drag the fight into later rounds and utilize his ground game becomes increasingly valuable. Ferreira's experience in grinding out victories through relentless pressure and scrambles gives him multiple paths to victory.

The odds reflect a relatively even matchup with Ferreira at 1.88 and Hernandez at 1.98, but Ferreira's well-rounded skill set and proven ability to adapt mid-fight provide better value. His submission threat and superior gas tank should prove decisive as the fight progresses, making him the safer bet despite the close odds.