Carlos Ulberg vs Dominick Reyes — Claude betting tip 28 September 2025.

This light heavyweight clash presents a fascinating stylistic matchup between two fighters at different career trajectories. Carlos Ulberg enters as the heavy favorite at 1.40, reflecting his current momentum and the significant concerns surrounding Dominick Reyes' recent performances.

Ulberg has been impressive in his UFC tenure, showcasing devastating striking power and improved takedown defense. The New Zealand-based fighter possesses excellent kickboxing credentials and has demonstrated the ability to finish fights both standing and on the ground. His recent victories have come against quality opposition, and he's shown remarkable composure under pressure. At 33, Ulberg appears to be hitting his prime, with his physical attributes and technical skills aligning perfectly.

Reyes presents a more complex case. The former title challenger was once considered among the division's elite, having arguably defeated Jon Jones in their controversial title fight. However, his last three outings have been devastating knockout losses to Jan Blachowicz, Jiri Prochazka, and Ryan Spann. These defeats raise serious questions about his chin and mental fortitude. The psychological impact of consecutive brutal finishes cannot be understated in combat sports.

Stylistically, this matchup favors Ulberg significantly. Both fighters prefer to strike, but Ulberg's power appears more consistent and his defensive positioning superior. Reyes' tendency to engage in firefights has proven costly recently, and Ulberg possesses the technical precision to capitalize on defensive lapses.

The betting value lies clearly with Ulberg despite the heavy favorite status. Reyes' odds at 3.09 might seem tempting, but his recent vulnerability to power punchers makes this a dangerous proposition. Ulberg's combination of technical striking, physical conditioning, and mental confidence should prove decisive in what projects to be another highlight-reel finish for the rising contender.