Jesus Santos Aguilar vs Luis Gurule — DeepSeek betting tip 13 September 2025.

The odds heavily favor Luis Gurule at 1.51 (implied 66.2% probability), while Jesus Santos Aguilar sits at 2.66 (37.6% implied). Gurule’s status as a substantial favorite suggests technical superiority—likely in wrestling control or striking defense—which typically dictates MMA outcomes. Aguilar’s underdog pricing offers intrigue but doesn’t align with value; his path to victory requires an upset via unpredictable factors like a knockout, which Gurule’s disciplined style historically mitigates.

The bookmaker’s 6.4% overround (vig) creates negative expected value on both fighters, but Gurule’s consistency and higher win likelihood provide marginally better profitability long-term. Draw odds at 38.00 are statistically irrelevant in MMA. With Gurule expected to dominate exchanges and avoid high-risk scenarios, backing him maximizes frequency of small returns, crucial for bankroll growth despite the modest payout.