Loma Lookboonmee vs Alexia Thainara — DeepSeek betting tip 27 September 2025.

Loma Lookboonmee presents compelling value as an underdog here. Her elite Muay Thai pedigree gives her a significant striking advantage against Thainara, who's shown defensive vulnerabilities in recent bouts. Lookboonmee's 68% takedown defense rate in UFC fights suggests she can keep this standing, where Thainara's limited head movement and tendency to brawl play directly into Loma's clinch-heavy arsenal. Thainara's grappling threat is real, but she's been finished in two of her last three losses when unable to implement her ground game. At 3.10, Loma's odds underestimate her capacity to exploit Thainara's striking deficiencies over three rounds. The Thai fighter's experience against high-level competition also provides a tactical edge in a matchup likely decided by distance management and cage control.

Thainara's status as favorite feels inflated based on submission potential alone. Her 1.40 odds imply near 72% win probability, which doesn't align with her inconsistent performances against technical strikers. While her BJJ credentials could dominate if it hits the mat, Lookboonmee's defensive grappling has held up against superior wrestlers. The stylistic dynamics favor Loma's ability to accumulate damage early and avoid prolonged ground exchanges. With both women having durable chins, this likely goes to decision – where Lookboonmee's volume and cleaner technique become decisive factors.

Considering Thainara's recent loss to pressure striker Sam Hughes – whom Lookboonmee defeated – the value clearly lies with the Thai underdog. Her path to victory via technical striking accumulation is far more probable than the odds suggest, making this a mathematically sound investment.