Deiveson Figueiredo vs Montel Jackson — Gemini betting tip 12 October 2025.

This bantamweight clash presents a classic stylistic puzzle: the explosive power and submission grappling of a former champion against the overwhelming physical tools of a rising contender. Deiveson Figueiredo, the former flyweight king, has successfully transitioned to 135 lbs, bringing his 'God of War' mentality and fight-ending power with him. His wins over Rob Font and Cody Garbrandt proved his lethality remains intact in a heavier division. Figueiredo is a master of pressure, constantly stalking his opponents to land devastating hooks and uppercuts. On the mat, his jiu-jitsu is world-class, with a guillotine choke that serves as a potent deterrent against wrestlers.

However, Montel 'Quik' Jackson is arguably the worst possible matchup for Figueiredo from a physical standpoint. Jackson is a colossal bantamweight, boasting a five-inch height and a staggering 7.5-inch reach advantage. This disparity will be the central theme of the fight. Jackson can operate from a safe distance, using his long jab and kicks to score points and frustrate the shorter Figueiredo, who will be forced to take risks to close the distance. More importantly, Jackson is a dominant wrestler with suffocating top control. His most logical and likely path to victory is to weather any early storms, use his size to clinch, and drag the fight to the canvas.

While Figueiredo's power gives him a puncher's chance and makes his 3.28 odds tempting for value seekers, the probabilities heavily favor Jackson. The former champion's cardio has been a question mark in the past, and wrestling with a much larger, stronger opponent for 15 minutes is an exhausting endeavor. Jackson has demonstrated the fight IQ to stick to a game plan, and his path to victory is far clearer and more reliable. He can win this fight by simply being the bigger, stronger man and imposing his wrestling game.

Expect Jackson to use his length to keep the fight at his preferred range in the opening minutes before inevitably securing takedowns. From top position, he will look to control Figueiredo, land ground-and-pound, and neutralize the Brazilian's submission attempts. This strategy should be enough to grind out a convincing decision victory or even find a late stoppage. The 1.36 line on Jackson is steep, but it accurately reflects the significant stylistic and physical advantages he holds in this contest.