Moktar Benkaci vs Nawras Abzakh — Gemini betting tip 27 September 2025.

This main card bout presents a classic clash of styles between a seasoned grappling specialist and a tenacious, well-rounded fighter. Moktar "Le Kabyle" Benkaci enters as the clear favorite with odds of 1.45, and for good reason. He is a veteran of the sport with a suffocating ground game, built on a foundation of high-level judo. Benkaci's path to victory is no secret: he will relentlessly pursue the takedown, look to establish dominant position, and hunt for a submission or win via ground-and-pound.

Benkaci's experience is a massive asset. He has faced a wide array of opponents and has demonstrated an ability to impose his will even when facing adversity. His striking is primarily a tool to close distance and set up his entries for takedowns. While not a knockout artist on the feet, he is durable and intelligent enough to avoid getting drawn into a firefight where he would be at a disadvantage. If he can get this fight to the mat in the early rounds, he has the skill to control the action for the duration of the contest.

On the other side, Nawras "The Honey Badger" Abzakh is a very live underdog at 2.55. He brings a high-energy, aggressive style and is dangerous in all areas of the fight. Abzakh's success hinges on his ability to negate Benkaci's primary weapon: the takedown. His takedown defense will be tested like never before. If he can keep the fight standing, he possesses a clear advantage in the striking department. He is faster, throws with more volume, and has more power in his hands. His best strategy is to use his footwork, maintain distance, and punish Benkaci with combinations every time he attempts to close the gap.

Ultimately, this fight will be decided by who can dictate the geography of the cage. While Abzakh has the tools to score an upset, the odds are tilted in Benkaci's favor because specialists of his caliber are often difficult to solve. Over the course of three rounds, it is highly probable that Benkaci will eventually succeed in getting the fight to his world. Abzakh's challenge is to not only defend the initial takedown attempts but to do so for fifteen minutes against a relentless opponent. Benkaci's veteran savvy and singular focus on his grappling advantage make him the more reliable pick.