Moktar Benkaci vs Nawras Abzakh — Qwen betting tip 27 September 2025.

Moktar Benkaci enters this bout as the clear favorite with odds of 1.45, while Nawras Abzakh is the underdog at 2.55. The disparity in betting lines suggests that bookmakers and analysts see Benkaci as having a significant edge, but let’s dig deeper into why this might be the case and whether it presents a profitable betting opportunity.
Benkaci’s resume speaks for itself. With a professional MMA record leaning heavily toward victories, he has consistently demonstrated adaptability across various fighting styles. His grappling skills are particularly noteworthy; Benkaci often neutralizes opponents by taking them down early and controlling the pace on the mat. This strategy minimizes risks and allows him to conserve energy, which is crucial in longer fights. Additionally, his defensive striking has improved over recent bouts, making him less vulnerable to counterattacks from agile strikers like Abzakh.
Nawras Abzakh, on the other hand, brings a contrasting style to the octagon. Known for his explosive striking and quick footwork, Abzakh thrives in chaotic exchanges where he can capitalize on openings. While his offensive capabilities are impressive, his defensive grappling remains a concern. Against a wrestler of Benkaci's caliber, Abzakh may struggle to keep the fight standing—a critical factor given Benkaci’s dominance once the action hits the canvas. Furthermore, Abzakh’s inconsistency in high-stakes matches raises questions about how he’ll handle the pressure against such a seasoned opponent.
A key aspect to consider is both fighters’ recent performances leading up to this championship clash. Benkaci has maintained a steady streak of wins, showcasing not only technical proficiency but also mental resilience. He appears unfazed by the spotlight, often performing better when expectations are highest. In contrast, Abzakh’s last few outings have been mixed. While he pulled off some stunning knockouts, he also suffered losses against opponents who exploited his weaknesses, particularly in grappling-heavy scenarios.
Another angle worth exploring is their respective training camps. Benkaci trains under a renowned coach known for developing well-rounded fighters capable of adapting mid-fight. His preparation likely includes extensive sparring sessions designed to simulate Abzakh’s unpredictable movement patterns. Meanwhile, Abzakh’s camp seems focused on enhancing his power and speed rather than addressing fundamental gaps in his ground game. This could prove costly if Benkaci successfully executes takedowns and maintains top control.
From a statistical perspective, Benkaci holds an advantage in almost every measurable category relevant to this matchup. His accuracy in strikes landed per minute exceeds Abzakh’s average, and his ability to absorb fewer strikes indicates superior defense. More importantly, Benkaci’s takedown success rate is significantly higher, giving him multiple pathways to victory—whether through decision or submission.