Ieuan Mackenzie vs Keir Harvie — Grok betting tip 13 September 2025.

When it comes to MMA betting, especially in a matchup like Ieuan Mackenzie versus Keir Harvie, it's all about digging into the fighters' styles, records, and how they match up stylistically. This bout is set for September 13, 2025, and with the odds sitting at Mackenzie as the underdog at 2.15 and Harvie as the favorite at 1.65, there's value to be found if you look closely.

First off, let's talk about Keir Harvie. He's coming into this fight with a solid reputation as a grappler who can control the pace on the ground. Harvie has a background in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, and his last few wins have come via submission, showcasing his ability to transition smoothly and lock in chokes or joint locks. Against opponents who like to stand and bang, Harvie often wears them down with takedowns and top control. His cardio is impressive too—he's gone the distance in longer fights without gassing out, which could be crucial if this turns into a war of attrition.

On the other side, Ieuan Mackenzie is no slouch. He's known for his striking power, with a knockout rate that's turned heads in regional circuits. Mackenzie's footwork allows him to dart in and out, landing heavy hooks and uppercuts that have felled bigger opponents. However, his takedown defense has been spotty in past bouts; he's been grounded and pounded more than once, which plays right into Harvie's strengths. If Mackenzie can keep this fight on the feet, he might clip Harvie early, but that's a big if given Harvie's wrestling pedigree.

Looking at their recent form, Harvie has won three of his last four, with the loss being a close decision against a top-tier striker—proof he can hang with punchers but prefers to dictate the fight on his terms. Mackenzie, meanwhile, is on a two-fight win streak, but those victories were against less experienced foes, not someone with Harvie's ground game. The odds reflect this: at 1.65, Harvie is favored for a reason, implying about a 60% chance of victory, which aligns with my analysis.

Betting-wise, I'm leaning towards Harvie here. Putting $1 on him at 1.65 would net around $0.65 profit if he wins, but given the matchup, it's a safer play than chasing the upset with Mackenzie at 2.15, which could return $1.15 on a $1 bet. For those looking to maximize returns, consider prop bets like Harvie by submission, but straight up, he's the pick.

That said, MMA is unpredictable— one clean shot from Mackenzie could change everything. Still, based on tape study and stats, Harvie's grappling edge should prevail in what might be a methodical dismantling over the rounds. Fans, if you're betting, manage your bankroll wisely and enjoy the fight!