Lukasz Charzewski vs Piotr Kacprzak — Qwen betting tip 20 September 2025.

This matchup between Lukasz Charzewski and Piotr Kacprzak offers an intriguing betting opportunity, with both fighters bringing distinct styles and records to the cage. Charzewski, listed at 1.74, enters as the favorite, suggesting that oddsmakers view him as having a slight edge in this contest. His reputation for durability and calculated striking makes him a formidable opponent. On the other hand, Kacprzak’s odds of 1.95 indicate he is far from an underdog, implying that his skills and recent performances are highly regarded in the MMA community.
Charzewski has built a solid career on his ability to adapt mid-fight. Standing at an imposing height for his weight class, he uses his reach advantage effectively to control distance in stand-up exchanges. His defensive grappling has improved over the years, making it difficult for opponents to take him down consistently. However, one potential weakness lies in his tendency to start fights slowly, often feeling out his opponent before committing to high-risk tactics. This cautious approach can sometimes allow opponents to gain early momentum, which could be pivotal against someone as aggressive as Kacprzak.
Kacprzak, meanwhile, thrives in fast-paced bouts where he can impose his will through relentless pressure. Known for his explosive striking combinations and cardio endurance, he often overwhelms opponents who fail to match his pace. His last three victories have come via knockout or submission within the first two rounds, showcasing his ability to finish fights decisively. That said, Kacprzak’s aggressive style leaves him vulnerable to counterattacks, particularly against fighters like Charzewski who excel at capitalizing on openings created by overly eager opponents.
When analyzing their respective paths leading up to this bout, Charzewski appears to hold a slight psychological edge. His experience in higher-profile events suggests he may handle the pressure better than Kacprzak, who is still adjusting to increased attention. Additionally, Charzewski’s technical proficiency gives him more tools to work with if the fight goes into deeper rounds. While Kacprzak’s aggression could pose problems early, Charzewski’s superior ringcraft should allow him to weather the storm and find opportunities to capitalize later in the fight.
From a value perspective, backing Charzewski at 1.74 seems justified despite the relatively steep price tag. The odds reflect his status as the favorite but also suggest there is room for profit if you trust his skill set to shine through. Conversely, while Kacprzak’s odds at 1.95 might tempt some bettors due to their perceived closeness, his reliance on early finishes introduces too much risk given the likelihood that Charzewski survives the initial onslaught.