Reinier de Ridder vs Brendan Allen — DeepSeek betting tip 19 September 2025.

This middleweight clash between Reinier de Ridder and Brendan Allen presents an intriguing stylistic matchup between two elite grapplers. De Ridder, the former ONE Championship double champ, boasts world-class Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and suffocating top control that's earned him 15 career submissions. However, he enters on a concerning two-fight KO skid against Anatoly Malykhin, raising questions about his durability at 34 years old. At 1.65, the odds imply a 60.8% win probability that feels inflated given these red flags.

Brendan Allen at 2.35 offers tremendous value as the younger (29), more active fighter riding a six-bout UFC win streak. His relentless pace and improved wrestling have overwhelmed opponents, while his 12 career submissions prove he won't be outmatched on the mat. Allen's UFC experience against elite competition translates better to high-pressure situations than de Ridder's ONE Championship dominance against lower-tier grapplers.

The key lies in Allen's ability to survive early positional battles and force de Ridder into later rounds where his cardio and recent KO vulnerability could surface. While de Ridder's front-choke threats remain dangerous, Allen's defensive grappling has held up against superior strikers, and his opportunistic submission game could capitalize on any fatigue-induced mistakes. This fight leans toward a likely decision or late Allen submission as de Ridder's recent layoff and knockout trauma resurface.