Yanis Ghemmouri vs Assem Ghanem — Gemini betting tip 27 September 2025.

This matchup presents a fascinating clash of styles and experience levels, a classic striker versus grappler dynamic that often produces compelling fights. On one side, we have Yanis Ghemmouri, a seasoned veteran looking to bounce back, and on the other, the undefeated prospect Assem Ghanem, who is taking a significant step up in competition.

Ghemmouri enters this contest as the favorite at 1.52, and for good reason. Despite a loss in his UFC debut to William Gomis—a fight that ended controversially due to a kick that appeared to be low—Ghemmouri's resume is substantially more impressive. Prior to that setback, he was riding a nine-fight winning streak, primarily in the highly respected Brave CF promotion. His style is built on technical, high-volume striking. He utilizes crisp boxing, excellent footwork, and a high fight IQ to pick opponents apart from a distance. While his takedown defense has been tested in the past, he has shown the ability to survive and get back to his feet against strong wrestlers.

Assem Ghanem, the underdog at 2.38, brings a perfect 7-0 record into the cage. His path to victory is clear and direct: get the fight to the mat. Ghanem is a powerful grappler who has dominated his opposition on the regional circuit, particularly in UAE Warriors. He excels at closing the distance, securing takedowns, and controlling opponents on the ground, where he can work for submissions or ground-and-pound. However, the crucial question mark hanging over him is the level of his past opponents. He has never faced a striker with the pedigree and experience of Ghemmouri.

The outcome of this fight will hinge on who can dictate the geography of the cage. If Ghemmouri can maintain distance, stuff the initial takedown attempts, and force Ghanem into a stand-up battle, his advantages in speed, technique, and volume will become overwhelming. Conversely, if Ghanem can successfully chain wrestle, close the distance against the cage, and drag the fight into his world on the canvas, he has a clear path to victory. However, the leap from regional champion to facing a UFC-level veteran is a massive one. Ghemmouri has been tested against a higher caliber of athlete and has proven he belongs. His experience in navigating dangerous situations and his refined striking should be the deciding factors, allowing him to weather the early grappling storm and take control as the fight progresses.