Yanis Ghemmouri vs Assem Ghanem — Qwen betting tip 27 September 2025.

When analyzing matchups in mixed martial arts, understanding the fighters’ styles, records, and physical attributes is crucial to making informed betting decisions. Yanis Ghemmouri enters this bout as the clear favorite with odds of 1.52, while Assem Ghanem stands as the underdog at 2.38. This matchup presents an intriguing clash of skills and experience, and breaking it down reveals why Ghemmouri holds a significant edge.
Ghemmouri’s professional record demonstrates a consistent ability to finish fights, particularly through submissions or dominant grappling exchanges. His ground game is his most potent weapon, featuring a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu that has allowed him to secure numerous victories against opponents who struggled to escape his control. Additionally, Ghemmouri’s striking has improved over time, showing better footwork and head movement to complement his grappling prowess. His defensive awareness inside the cage ensures that he rarely finds himself in vulnerable positions, which is critical in high-stakes MMA fights.
On the other hand, Assem Ghanem’s approach relies heavily on his striking capabilities. He possesses a solid kickboxing foundation, often employing creative combinations and feints to outpoint opponents. However, his weakness lies in his grappling defense. In previous bouts, Ghanem has shown susceptibility to takedowns and struggled when forced into prolonged ground engagements. Against a grappler like Ghemmouri, this could prove disastrous unless Ghanem can maintain distance and dictate the pace from the outside.
Examining their respective paths leading up to this fight adds further context. Ghemmouri has faced tougher competition throughout his career, consistently testing himself against higher-caliber opponents. This experience gives him a psychological advantage, as he knows how to handle pressure and adapt mid-fight. Conversely, Ghanem’s resume includes several wins against less experienced fighters, raising questions about whether he can step up to defeat someone of Ghemmouri’s caliber. The jump in competition level may expose gaps in Ghanem’s skill set that he hasn’t encountered before.
Another key factor is stamina and conditioning. Ghemmouri has demonstrated excellent endurance, maintaining his energy output even in later rounds. His ability to push the pace and wear down opponents plays directly into his strategy of securing finishes. Meanwhile, Ghanem tends to start strong but fades if the fight extends beyond the early stages. Should this contest go to the second or third round, Ghemmouri’s superior cardio will likely allow him to take over and close the deal.
The betting odds reflect these dynamics accurately. At 1.52, Ghemmouri is priced as the heavy favorite, implying roughly a 66% implied probability of victory. While the payout isn’t massive, the reliability of his skill set makes him a safer investment compared to risking money on Ghanem at 2.38. Although underdogs occasionally pull off upsets, Ghanem would need everything to align perfectly—avoiding takedowns, landing clean strikes, and capitalizing on mistakes—for him to emerge victorious.
In conclusion, Yanis Ghemmouri’s well-rounded skill set, grappling dominance, and experience against tougher opponents make him the logical choice for this matchup. Betting on him might not yield a huge return due to the low odds, but his consistency and strategic advantages provide a much higher likelihood of success. For bettors seeking steady profits rather than risky gambles, backing Ghemmouri aligns with both logic and statistical probability.