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AI betting stats / ChatGPT

ChatGPT betting tips

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Event Date
ROI -4.6%
Win Rate 46.3%
Avg. Odds - 2.92

ChatGPT ROI

ROI based on real bookmaker odds, match outcome market only 1X2 (Win/Draw/Win)

ChatGPT match-outcome win rate (1X2)

Match & Predictions
6 of 6 AI models pick New York Mets to win at 1.03
25/09/16 - 21:10 (UTC)
New York Mets
San Diego Padres
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

New York Mets
Near pick'em pricing slightly underrates home field and Citi Field run suppression, making the Mets at -110 a small but real +EV play.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Tacoma Rainiers to win at 1.79
25/09/16 - 21:05 (UTC)
Tacoma Rainiers
Oklahoma City Baseball Club
Baseball
Minor League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Tacoma Rainiers
Back the Rainiers at home in an early-start, travel-tilted spot; Tacoma’s last-at-bat leverage and situational edges make -127 a small but real value.
Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Gwinnett Stripers to win at 1.96
25/09/16 - 21:05 (UTC)
Gwinnett Stripers
Indianapolis Indians
Baseball
Minor League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Gwinnett Stripers
Back Gwinnett at near-even money: the home-field, series-opener dynamics and implied probability gap make the Stripers the value side over a taxed road favorite.
Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Benfica to win at 1.20
25/09/16 - 21:00 (UTC)
Benfica
Qarabağ FK
Football
UEFA Champions League

tip from ChatGPT

Draw
Taking the Draw at 6.74 for value: Benfica should dominate, but the break-even for their 1.22 is steep and the matchup favors a low-variance, cagey opener.
Lost

5 of 6 AI models pick Juventus to win at 1.94
25/09/16 - 21:00 (UTC)
Juventus
Borussia Dortmund
Football
UEFA Champions League

tip from ChatGPT

Draw
Take the Draw at 3.59: Juventus’ compact home style and Dortmund’s streaky away output point to a tight, low-event match where the market slightly overrates the home win.
Won

6 of 6 AI models pick Real Madrid to win at 1.36
25/09/16 - 21:00 (UTC)
Real Madrid
Marseille
Football
UEFA Champions League

tip from ChatGPT

Real Madrid
Back Real Madrid ML at 1.33: home dominance and a favorable matchup make the implied 75.2% a touch low, yielding a small but real EV edge.
Won

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/16 - 21:00 (UTC)
Tottenham Hotspur
Villarreal
Football
UEFA Champions League

tip from ChatGPT

Draw
Take the Draw at 3.71: early group-stage dynamics and a tight tactical matchup make the stalemate slightly undervalued versus market-implied probabilities.
Lost

5 of 6 AI models pick Atlanta Braves to win at 1.68
25/09/16 - 17:06 (UTC)
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Atlanta Braves
Back Atlanta on the moneyline at 1.70; their deeper lineup, sturdier bullpen, and broader win paths clear the break-even mark implied by the price.
Won

6 of 6 AI models pick SC Bastia to win at 2.32
25/09/16 - 17:00 (UTC)
Boulogne
SC Bastia
Football
Ligue 1, France

tip from ChatGPT

Draw
Take the Draw at 3.53: Ligue 2’s high stalemate rate and a cautious tactical matchup make the price a value play over either side to win.
Lost

5 of 6 AI models pick Arsenal to win at 1.74
25/09/16 - 16:45 (UTC)
Athletic Bilbao
Arsenal
Football
UEFA Champions League

tip from ChatGPT

Draw
Backing the Draw at 3.56 offers the best value given San Mamés’ home dampening effect and Arsenal’s risk-managed away approach.
Lost

6 of 6 AI models pick PSV Eindhoven to win at 1.88
25/09/16 - 16:45 (UTC)
PSV Eindhoven
Union Saint-Gilloise
Football
UEFA Champions League

tip from ChatGPT

PSV Eindhoven
PSV at home is a favorable stylistic and quality matchup, and the 1.83 price sits below my fair line. I project ~57–60% win probability, yielding a small but real positive EV on the hosts.
Lost

5 of 6 AI models pick Afghanistan to win at 1.60
25/09/16 - 14:30 (UTC)
Bangladesh
Afghanistan
Cricket
Asia Cup

tip from ChatGPT

Bangladesh
Value on Bangladesh at +218: this rivalry is tighter than the market’s 75/25 lean to Afghanistan, making the underdog a positive-EV pick.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Doosan Bears to win at 1.92
25/09/16 - 09:30 (UTC)
Doosan Bears
Kiwoom Heroes
Baseball
KBO League, South Korea

tip from ChatGPT

Doosan Bears
Slight value on Doosan at home in run-suppressing Jamsil; their run prevention and bullpen give them a small but real edge over a contact-heavy Kiwoom lineup.
Lost

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/16 - 09:30 (UTC)
Kia Tigers
Hanwha Eagles
Baseball
KBO League, South Korea

tip from ChatGPT

Kia Tigers
Taking the home underdog at 2.21 offers positive expected value in a high-variance KBO environment where a road price of 1.68 is tough to justify. The volatility and home edge tilt this matchup toward Kia at the current number.
Lost

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/16 - 09:30 (UTC)
KT Wiz
LG Twins
Baseball
KBO League, South Korea

tip from ChatGPT

LG Twins
Backing LG Twins as a value underdog at +121 in what profiles as a near coin-flip matchup, with bullpen depth and contact-driven offense giving them late-game equity.
Won

6 of 6 AI models pick Samsung Lions to win at 1.44
25/09/16 - 09:30 (UTC)
Samsung Lions
Lotte Giants
Baseball
KBO League, South Korea

tip from ChatGPT

Samsung Lions
Back Samsung at home at -177; their bullpen depth, park fit, and home-field edge push the true win rate above the 63.9% break-even for a small but real positive EV.
Won

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/16 - 09:30 (UTC)
NC Dinos
SSG Landers
Baseball
KBO League, South Korea

tip from ChatGPT

NC Dinos
Take NC Dinos ML at -103. Home-field, park fit, and late-inning leverage create a small but real edge over a road-favored SSG price.
Lost

6 of 6 AI models pick Orix Buffaloes to win at 1.59
25/09/16 - 09:00 (UTC)
Orix Buffaloes
Chiba Lotte Marines
Baseball
Nippon Professional Baseball, Japan

tip from ChatGPT

Orix Buffaloes
Backing Orix at home at 1.56: the dome’s low-variance environment and Orix’s run prevention tilt this matchup above the break-even mark.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Los Angeles Dodgers to win at 1.88
25/09/16 - 02:11 (UTC)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Philadelphia Phillies
Take the Phillies at +108: in a near coin-flip between elite clubs, the plus-money underdog offers the better expected value. The price overstates the Dodgers’ home edge.
Won

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/16 - 02:05 (UTC)
Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers
Football (USA)
NFL

tip from ChatGPT

Las Vegas Raiders
Backing the Raiders as a home dog at 2.59 offers positive value in a high-variance divisional spot against a run-heavy Chargers team that plays into Las Vegas’s defensive strengths.
Lost