Welisson Paiva vs Mateusz Makarowski — Claude betting tip 20 September 2025.

This matchup presents an intriguing clash between two fighters with contrasting styles and career trajectories. Welisson Paiva enters as the betting favorite at 1.65, indicating the oddsmakers view him as having approximately 60% probability of victory, while Mateusz Makarowski sits as the underdog at 2.15.

Paiva brings a well-rounded skill set with strong Brazilian jiu-jitsu credentials and improving striking fundamentals. His grappling pedigree gives him multiple pathways to victory, particularly if he can secure takedowns and control the ground game. Brazilian fighters often excel in scrambles and transitions, making them dangerous throughout all phases of combat. His negative odds suggest recent performances have impressed both fans and analysts.

Makarowski represents the classic European grinder mentality, likely bringing solid boxing fundamentals and wrestling defense. Polish fighters have historically shown excellent conditioning and mental toughness, often performing better as fights progress into later rounds. His underdog status at 2.15 could represent genuine value if he can neutralize Paiva's grappling advantages.

The key factors favoring Paiva include his submission threat and ability to mix striking with takedowns effectively. Modern MMA increasingly rewards fighters who can seamlessly blend disciplines, and Brazilian athletes typically excel in this area. His favored status suggests superior recent form or more impressive opposition.

However, Makarowski's underdog odds create an interesting risk-reward scenario. If he can keep the fight standing and utilize superior boxing technique, the 2.15 payout becomes attractive. Polish fighters often surprise with their durability and late-fight surges.

Considering the odds distribution and typical fighting styles associated with each fighter's background, Paiva's well-rounded skill set and grappling advantages appear to justify his favored status. The 1.65 odds suggest reasonable confidence without being prohibitively expensive, making this a solid investment opportunity.