Welisson Paiva vs Mateusz Makarowski — Qwen betting tip 20 September 2025.

In this upcoming MMA bout between Mateusz Makarowski and Welisson Paiva, the odds suggest a clear favorite in Paiva, who is listed at 1.65, while Makarowski sits at 2.15. While these odds might initially seem to reflect the fighters' respective levels of skill and experience, a deeper dive into their backgrounds and fighting styles reveals intriguing opportunities for bettors.
Mateusz Makarowski enters this matchup as a classic underdog. His record shows promise but also hints at inconsistency, which could explain the more generous odds. Makarowski's strength lies in his striking ability, particularly his power punches and calculated aggression. He has demonstrated a knack for ending fights early when he capitalizes on openings. However, his grappling defense remains a glaring weakness. Opponents with strong ground games have historically exploited this flaw, often forcing Makarowski into unfavorable positions or submissions. If he can keep the fight standing, his chances improve significantly.
On the other hand, Welisson Paiva brings an impressive resume to the cage, backed by a dominant streak in recent performances. His primary asset is his well-rounded skill set, combining solid striking with exceptional Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu credentials. Paiva excels at controlling the pace of the fight, often dictating where the action unfolds. Against opponents like Makarowski, who struggle defensively on the ground, Paiva’s grappling acumen becomes a significant advantage. The odds at 1.65 indicate that bookmakers see him as the likely victor, but this confidence may overlook certain vulnerabilities in his approach."The key to this matchup lies in how each fighter manages distance and dictates the fight's location. Makarowski's best chance will be to maintain a high-pressure striking game, keeping Paiva at bay with stiff jabs and powerful combinations. If he can disrupt Paiva’s rhythm early and avoid being taken down, he stands a legitimate chance of pulling off the upset. Conversely, Paiva will look to close the distance quickly, utilizing his superior wrestling to drag the fight to the mat. Once there, his submission threats and positional dominance should prove overwhelming.