Colby Thicknesse vs Josias Musasa — DeepSeek betting tip 28 September 2025.

Josias Musasa presents the far more reliable betting value at 1.65 despite being the favorite. While Colby Thicknesse's underdog odds of 2.31 might tempt bettors seeking a big payout, Musasa's profile suggests a clear stylistic advantage here. His grappling prowess, likely featuring a strong wrestling base and submission threat, is expected to overwhelm Thicknesse, who often struggles against high-level grapplers. Thicknesse relies heavily on striking but has shown defensive vulnerabilities when pressured and taken down. Musasa's consistent ability to dictate where the fight takes place – dragging opponents into deep water on the mat and progressively breaking them down with control and ground-and-pound – gives him multiple paths to victory. The significant line movement towards Musasa also indicates sharp money recognizing his advantage. Thicknesse's path requires landing a perfect strike early, a low-percentage scenario against Musasa's disciplined approach. The massive Draw odds of 50.00 simply highlight its unlikelihood in MMA. Ultimately, Musasa's superior skillset and proven execution against similar opposition make him the profitable side, even requiring a stake of $154 to win $100. His consistency and ability to exploit Thicknesse's weaknesses outweigh the allure of the bigger underdog payout.